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MR IBO RICHARDS DIVINE SITE ANALYSIS
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A TENTATIVE APPROACH
The US Economy has much to get used to as once again the trend reversal proves that a low volatility market environment makes for uncertainty in the trade. Just as the markets had to figure through zero interest rate environment.
THE PRICE IS RIGHT
As the US Federal government makes the argument of an actual two percent inflation target to be met. The big if is when the model goes over the target the businesses will suffer quite radically more than a knee jerk reaction because business thrives in demand and going pass the target with out stopping or even pausing puts the business in the position to serve as its forecasting models will be fuzzy. Confidence is interrupted.
IF IS GOOD
If the new US administartion behaves.
If the scheduled interest rates hikes actually take place
If minimum wage hike take immediate effect across the US economy.
Then perhaps one will argue two percent inflation target. Saying this is the plan and then saying its hard to measure or predict is not taking the easiest path of less resistance.
If the experiment works then the model perhaps could be used later on down the road.
From an economic point of view, taking this stance or strategy if you will proves that the health of the US economy is getting stronger and the rate of growth of the economy despite market sentiment and mandates is going up.
Thank you and have a great day.
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