EMERGING MARKETS
Cyclical v Secular
Macro v Micro
Energy and Materials
Raising Capital
Economies that do not have solid retirements products and retirement mechanisms will teeter and always flirt with recession, for the older generation will lack legacy but will have family left behind. This is causing a demand for the economies in these situation to export which causes the economy to rely on foreign dollars in urn will have the economy subject to foreign policy which many will argue can be challenging for the growth of the economy. US Economy is a good example of that as the economy thrived on foreign oil. These risk off events make the economy a liability to itself. As far as the investment of transferring wealth, again which is obviously necessary the fact that property is not commonly owned by the human beings in the economy is realized as no net worth no nest egg and most likely to have no savings which create bubble effects and force stimulus to keep the economy functioning.
The emerging market scene is not good looking at all in the early quarters of 2016. Currencies as the ruble are suffering. There is negative sentiment as the fear of the emerging markets are nearing and threatening correction territory. In 2008 the correction was led by US Economy. In 2016 there a number of economies that have taken measures to protect the growth of the economies and are not being successful. Japan is not fairing well. This is causing shock to the largest economy who is brightening but yet very weak and many will argue fragile as the US Economy is still well within its recovery. With that being said after recovering there has to be some sort of rehabilitation that makes the economy prove to itself and give it the confidence that it can function without fear of aggravating the same injury.Question has the US Economy done this and have the US Economy done this correctly?
In 2016 it is observed that technology has advanced so much in a short time. Emerging markets connected and recognized differences in culture custom and habit. Shock now exist creating massive volatility within the emerging scene even as energy changes creating more and more opportunity for technology which is very aggressive to set the tone moving forward.
Within the volatility in stock markets ten percent corrections are the norm. Stocks become cheap compared to bonds. Weight on index yields over time help portfolios. Repricing the markets in sectors such as materials and energy as well as health care is a given currently in 2016. The decline in earthsblood is good for GDP.Yet supply in earthsblood is fueling the current selloff. Understanding Debt and debt management successfully will help strengthening economies. Technology and finance are seen as moving parallel in investment cycles. Health care and Real estate are a plus for portfolios.
Many complain that getting money is getting harder and harder. Mmmmm.
The emerging market scene has observed many things objectives to handle change in the form of austerity some with stimulus and others doing nothing. It will be interesting as the economies will b e getting desperate, human beings live longer and change is demanding with the human beings as seeking comfort and knowledge is a way of life. Keeping the economies honest moving forward to see what types of policies will take shape in the short term.
USA USA USA
HIGHER HIGHS
Raising Rates in the US is causing recession in asset prices. Stock markets in the US are seeing a twenty three month low currently and many see downward pressure. Bond s are are at two hundred day lows the slide in earthsblood is tackling and taking down financials. How much lower. The decline are said to continue. Who is in and who is out. The plunge is causing fear as now the Fed is accused of second guessing itself as the rate was raised. Negative zero interest rates could stimulate the sell off. Confidence is a t a low point in the US Economy. Human beings that do not own stocks participate in the market or even entertain traditional investments will get squeezed in the long term. Currently stock owners feel the pressure. The typical buy pull backs and sell rallies is in question at this juncture.
THAT'S WHAT I TOLD HIM!!!
The argument was favoring whether or not raising of the interest rates would send markets down was favoring a massive sell off......This is not over yet.
Thank you and have a great day.
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